منابع مشابه
El Niño and our future climate : where do we stand ?
El Niño and La Niña comprise the dominant mode of tropical climate variability: the El Niño and Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomenon. ENSO variations influence climate, ecosystems, and societies around the globe. It is, therefore, of great interest to understand the character of past and future ENSO variations. In this brief review, we explore our current understanding of these issues. The am...
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El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is a climate event that originates in the Pacific Ocean but has wide-ranging consequences for weather around the world, and is especially associated with droughts and floods. The irregular occurrence of El Niño and La Niña events has implications for public health. On a global scale, the human effect of natural disasters increases during El Niño. The effect o...
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Peruvians Sick of El Nifio As Peruvian officials braced for the effects of El Ninio in 1997, they suspected they might be hit with a rash of diarrhea cases. They were correct, as the diarrhea caseload in children doubled during the worst stretches of a 16-month period of above-average temperatures. An international team of researchers led by William Checkley, a researcher in the Department of I...
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Using monthly forecast data from Consensus Economics Inc. for 18 developed countries reported over 24 different forecast horizons during 1989-2004, we found wide diversity in the quality of forecasts across countries, and the horizons at which forecasts start becoming useful. For only seven countries (viz., Austria, Belgium, Canada, Denmark, Germany, Norway and U.S.) the initial 24-month-ahead ...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Geophysical Research Letters
سال: 2002
ISSN: 0094-8276
DOI: 10.1029/2001gl013919